Hillary Clinton’s post-convention lead has disappeared, putting her behind Donald Trump for the first time nationally since mid-July.
The latest weekly Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 40% support to Clinton’s 39% among Likely U.S. Voters, after Clinton led 42% to 38% a week ago. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson now earns seven percent (7%) of the vote, down from nine percent (9%) the previous two weeks, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein picks up three percent (3%) support. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
What I find interesting with the Rasmussen poll demographics is their ratio of Republicans and Democrats. There are a number of polls using a +10 or more Democrat sample and these are the polls showing Hillary with large single digit leads.
Others that are now showing Hillary in the lead by a couple of points or slightly more are using the “accepted” polling ratio based on the last presidential election. Obama won in 2012 with a +6 margin and in 2008 with a +7.